Here we remember that Israel invaded Lebanon in 1982 under the name of Operation “Safety of Galilee” after the Palestinian resistance’s bombing of them from Lebanon led to the departure of many of its residents.

The third

The third is to bring about a change in the awareness of the Palestinians that the path of armed confrontation with Israel or resistance to it will not lead to achieving their goals of freedom and independence, and that they must be content with accepting what Israel “blesses” them with.

In the Israeli mentality, if the Palestinian fighting factions continue to rule Gaza after the attacks of October 7, this will encourage the Palestinians in the West Bank and Jerusalem to continue to resist Israel and score points against it until it accepts withdrawal, and therefore the armed factions in Gaza must be broken and a clear defeat must be inflicted. To prevent armed resistance from turning into a culture that exhausts Israel. ISRAIL VS GAZA

Hence, this war on Gaza differs from the past five wars since Hamas took control of it in 2007.

Israel had previous wars of deterrence that ended with an agreement on a truce that guaranteed calm for several years between the two sides, during which Hamas obtained some facilities such as the entry of goods and money and allowing a number of Palestinian workers to access the Israeli labor market, while Israel obtained a period of calm.

Smoke rising from Gaza after an Israeli bombing on October 14, 2023 

This war is different, because achieving its goals requires a complete ground invasion of the Gaza Strip, which will result in the killing of thousands of Palestinians and the displacement of hundreds of thousands of them, with the aim of reaching the fighters, liquidating them, and destroying their weapons stores.

A different war ISRAIL VS GAZA

Previously, Israel refrained from doing so because the costs of a ground campaign in the Gaza Strip had high human and political costs. On the one hand, the re-occupation of Gaza with the presence of tens of thousands of fighters would lead to huge human losses among the ranks of the Israeli army, which Israel did not want and what Israeli society was not prepared to accept.

On the other hand, the ground invasion would lead to thousands, if not tens of thousands, of casualties among Palestinian civilians, which was not acceptable to the international community. In addition, Israel did not want to return to the occupation of Gaza because it did not have an answer to the question: “And what on the second day of the occupation?”, meaning who will manage the lives of more than two million Palestinians after the occupation.

But it seems that the human losses that Israel suffered among its officers, soldiers, and settlers in the October 7 attacks, the feeling of humiliation, and the fear that its deterrence power has been severely eroded have removed all these obstacles.

Statements of its officials

Israel, from the statements of its officials, appears willing to bear losses among its soldiers, even if they are high. In addition, Israel received all the political and military support it wanted from the United States and other European countries to reoccupy Gaza. It does not seem that answering the question of what comes after the occupation of Gaza is a priority in its calculations now that it has obtained Western support.

The US Secretary of State stated in the press conference with the Qatari Foreign Minister in response to a question in this regard: “The priority now is to remove the threat that Hamas poses to Israel.” This is a confirmation of what Lloyd Austin said in his press conference with Gallant that “the American army does not place conditions on its security assistance and weapons provided to Israel, nor on how it uses them.” ISRAIL VS GAZA

It is clear, then, that there is an Israeli-Western decision to end the presence of Palestinian fighting factions in Gaza, even if the price is displacing the Palestinians in Gaza, destroying their homes over their heads, or entering into a regional war.

To ensure that Israel wins if the war on Gaza turns into a regional war, the United States has sent one of its largest and most advanced aircraft carriers in the world (Gerald Ford) to the region, and is considering sending another aircraft carrier. As for Britain, it sent two Royal Navy ships and helicopters and surveillance planes to Israel, while Germany sent two Heron drones.

The essence of the conflict in the region

Far from entering into speculation as to whether this war will turn into a regional war or not, this war confirms what the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has said repeatedly that peace and stability in the Middle East region is not possible without resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. It was and still is the core of the conflict in the region and the most sensitive issue for its countries and peoples.

For this specific reason, the Kingdom linked the decision to establish relations with Israel with achieving fundamental progress on the path to resolving the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. It did not condemn the military operation by Palestinian fighters, called for the protection of all civilians, and issued a statement.

In it, she said that the current situation “is caused by the ongoing occupation and Israel’s denial of the rights of the Palestinians,” calling on the international community to launch a credible peace process that leads to the implementation of the two-state solution.

YOU MAY ALSO LIKE

Gaza battle: Messages and strikes to draw “red lines”

West has fully adopted the Israeli narrative

The West has fully adopted the Israeli narrative; That what happened on the 7th of October were terrorist attacks similar to the attacks of September 11, although Israel admitted that among its dead were at least 268 officers and soldiers and 97 prisoners (these numbers are not final, because Israel updates them daily).

They also demonized the Palestinian armed factions, describing them as ISIS, to the point where US President Biden claimed that he had watched videos in which Palestinian fighters “beheaded men, children, and women,” which the White House was forced to deny later, saying that the president had not watched these videos, but the leaders of Israel. Tell him that.

In conclusion, there is a dominant narrative in the West that what happened on October 7 is “Israeli September 11” and that the Palestinian armed factions are no different from ISIS.

Consequently, there is unprecedented pressure on many Arab countries to condemn what the Palestinian fighters did, and to prevent these countries from putting pressure to stop the massacres committed by Israel against the Palestinians, which is the mission for which US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken came to the region and opened it with a visit to Israel, saying in it:

“He came there not only as America’s Secretary of State, but as a Jew whose grandfather had escaped murder.” All of this, of course, puts great pressure on major Arab countries to influence their decisions and positions.

Reuters

Demonstrators in Mosul, Iraq, in support of the Palestinians on October 14, 2023 

In this context, it is important to pay attention to two issues:

The first is that enabling Israel to achieve its goals in Gaza will not lead to the end of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, but it will exacerbate it, because Israel will translate its military victory into a political victory by refusing to make any concessions whatsoever to the Palestinians, and may work to annex all Area C in the West Bank (representing 60 percent of its area) to Israel as the West continues to exert pressure on the Kingdom to normalize relations with Israel without there being a political reward for that on the Palestinian level.

The second is that Israel is not interested in managing the Gaza Strip if it is able to occupy it, and will work to leave it quickly, leaving it devastating to the United Nations and the Arab world.

Bloody conflict ISRAIL VS GAZA

The fact is that turning this bloody conflict into an opportunity to achieve peace in the region requires that Israel be unable to achieve its goals. Only then will the West tell Israel that it stood behind it and supported it with everything it wanted, but it was unable to achieve security for itself, and that in return it must accept a peace settlement with the Palestinians that results in security arrangements for Israel in exchange for its withdrawal from the Palestinian territories it occupied in 1967.

Palestinian steadfastness ISRAIL VS GAZA

If this analysis is correct, and I believe it is, then achieving peace in the region requires that Israel fail in its efforts to defeat and defeat the Palestinians. This can be achieved in two ways: Palestinian steadfastness that prevents Israel from achieving the victory it seeks, or Western intervention to stop the Israeli aggression after both the Palestinian and Israeli sides feel exhausted.

In both cases, there is an opportunity for active Saudi diplomacy, the essence of which is to continue repeating its message to the West that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the first Arab issue, and that peace and stability in the region will not be achieved without a just settlement of this conflict in which the Palestinians are able to obtain their right to self-determination and establish their state. ISRAIL VS GAZA

Arab States and the Organization of the Islamic Conference

This requires activating the League of Arab States and the Organization of the Islamic Conference and coordinating closely with all countries concerned with just peace and stability in the region, including Turkey, Russia and China, to present political initiatives to settle the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and to keep the political path open to end the war on Gaza.

Finally, Israel must know that the destruction of Gaza and the brutal killing of its people will not restore its deterrent power that it lost on October 7, and that its situation today is similar to what the hero of the American movie “A Knight’s Story” said to the boastful Count Ademar after he knocked him off his horse with one blow. “We weighed you, measured you, and found you wanting, ISRAIL VS GAZA

ISRAIL VS GAZA FAQS 

What is the conflict between Gaza and Israel?

Israel took Gaza during the battle, which came to be known as the Six-Day War, and occupied it for almost 40 years until 2005, when it withdrew its forces and settlers. Since then, armed clashes between Israel and various Palestinian groups, including Hamas, have occurred frequently.

Which country is fighting with Gaza?

However, a number of governments have begun to criticize Israel’s behavior, some more overtly than others, as it continues to bomb Gaza and attack Palestinians in the occupied West Bank.

What religion is Gaza?

Sunni Muslims

Palestinian Christians make up a minority in Gaza and Sunni Muslims make up the majority. Gaza is frequently referred to as being crowded due to its yearly population growth rate of 2.91% (est. 2014), which is the 13th highest in the world.

How big is Israel army?

Israel has 169,500 active military troops in the army, navy, and paramilitary, according to the Military Balance 2023 report from the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Additionally, it has 465,000 reserve soldiers and 8,000 paramilitary members.