2024 Election: Americans are preparing for a scandalous season
2024 Election: With the presidential elections approaching, which will be held in a little more than a year, the number of voters satisfied with the development of events in the United States of America appears to be very small.
Of course, in the American political arena, a year seems like an entire lifetime, during which dynamics can change very quickly to take a completely new direction. Therefore, it is not easy to predict the course of events, especially when it comes to the future, as a wise philosopher once pointed out.
But if current trends continue as they are, the 2024 presidential election will look like a sequel to a well-known movie that Hollywood is preparing to produce, just because the original part received high viewership even though no one liked it.
The two main actors in this film are Joe Biden, the current president, and his predecessor, Donald Trump, both of whom enjoy low ratings from the public, but nevertheless remain at the forefront of the candidates, and clearly maintain a strong grip on their parties.
The basic plot remains the same, as the main struggle for power in the most influential country in the world, which has a vibrant economy, centers on the internal struggle over the nation’s identity and culture.
It seems that high-level discussions on issues related to domestic and foreign policy affairs are not a primary focus for the media and various election candidates these days. In fact, it seems that the Middle East does not receive enough attention in American political debate.
Main features of the fall 2023 electoral competition
Campaigns for president and Congress in America these days begin much earlier than in the past, which distinguishes them from other electoral democracies that experience much shorter election seasons.
In a sense, the election campaign in the United States feels like an ongoing, never-ending process, a dynamic driven mostly by the media and the money spent on politics to excite, excite and often anger ordinary Americans.
AFPTrump during a campaign rally in Iowa on September 20
Here are the four main things that can be said about the shape of the 2024 elections, which will be held in about a year:
Donald Trump still controls the Republican Party
After months of election campaigns, spending millions of dollars, and after the first presidential debate that witnessed dramatic ratings similar to those of the American basketball championship, the ranking of the candidates seeking to win the Republican Party nomination has not changed.
Donald Trump, the first presidential candidate in American history to be indicted on criminal charges four times, still leads the Republican Party primaries by a large margin.
Trump’s former ambassador
Nikki Haley, Trump’s former ambassador to the United Nations, may have made some inroads into the group competing with the former president. But Trump still has a significant advantage over others and receives the largest share of media coverage.
Although it is still very early in the campaign, the latest polls indicate that Biden and Trump are tied at the national level. In addition, the Electoral College tally system, the central mechanism for determining the presidency, reflects tougher competition
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As for President Biden, although he has no competitor in the Democratic Party
He faces many challenges. As the current president, Biden has some advantages that make his party’s nomination for him in the 2024 elections almost certain, despite the minor challenges he faces from lesser competitors and from a third-party candidate from the left.
However, Biden’s popularity remains relatively low, and his approval ratings have declined significantly since the fall of 2021. Today, the majority of Americans object to him, and he even faces great skepticism within his party about his ability to lead the country.
Two-thirds of Democratic voters (67 percent) believe that the party should nominate someone other than Biden. Moreover, his age and mental capacity raise concerns among many voters.
APRepublican candidates before their debate in Milwaukee on August 23
As if that is not enough for him, in addition to these challenges, there is also the criminal case against his son Hunter Biden and the new investigation launched by Republicans in the House of Representatives, which they believe will lead to impeachment measures against Biden.
There is a lot of uncertainty hanging over Biden’s re-election path next year.
The difference in the presidential race is very small
And America remains sharply divided along partisan and ideological lines; Although it is still very early in the election campaign, the latest opinion polls indicate that Biden and Trump are tied at the national level.
In addition, the Electoral College tally system, the central mechanism for determining the presidency, reflects tougher competition. Control of both houses of Congress is also up in the air, so no one knows its fate.
The national mood is turbulent
And major sectors of the electorate are not enthusiastic about participating in the vote. The fourth dynamic in the 2024 election campaign relates to the fact that most voters view the two major political parties as too extreme on cultural and economic issues, as John Halpin recently argued at Liberal Patriot.
Hard-line partisanship and ideological voices dominate both parties, which dismays American voters looking for more moderate votes. It also creates incentives to withdraw from political life, as about half of young voters in a recent opinion poll expressed a decrease or lack of their motivation to participate in voting.
The Middle East is almost absent from the scene and is mostly considered a political obstacle. In the current political landscape
Middle East policy issues are only mentioned within a narrow elite of experts and media figures who focus their attention on different aspects of US policy in the Middle East.
This narrow debate takes place mainly in Washington, D.C., and reflects internal political divisions more than its focus on actual political debates about the United States’ role in the region. 2024 Election
Donald Trump and Barack Obama
In fact, the Middle East is often viewed as a factor that poses an obstacle and a challenge to a specific political leader, and this explains why Biden’s two predecessors, Donald Trump and Barack Obama, repeatedly spoke of the need for the United States to exit the region and encourage regional actors to take more responsibility for their internal affairs and rely on..To a lesser extent in the United States.
Biden adopted this vision during his first year in office, but then changed course in 2022 and got his team more closely involved on some key issues, including support for a potential normalization agreement between Saudi Arabia and Israel.
Greater challenges and danger
However, most Americans see the Middle East as posing far greater challenges and danger than the opportunities it presents; From an economic standpoint, Americans pay great attention to domestic economic issues such as inflation, and consider that the threat of rising gas prices could be a way for the Middle East to negatively influence American political dialogue.
From a security standpoint, the idea of the United States engaging in long, costly wars in the Middle East, drawing American forces there and endangering American lives, raises great concern among Americans, and this is a result of the long wars in Afghanistan, Iran, and other regions in the Middle East.
Most Americans see the Middle East as posing far greater challenges and danger than the opportunities it presents; From an economic standpoint, Americans pay great attention to domestic economic issues such as inflation, and consider that the threat of rising gas prices could be a way for the Middle East to negatively influence the American political dialogue.
2024 Election
Even Americans who follow politics and participate in the 2024 campaign do not see great benefits in investing in peace agreements and normalization in the Middle East.
We can remember three American presidents who served only one term and devoted a lot of time and effort to diplomatic operations in the Middle East during their presidential term, but they did not succeed in winning a second presidential term.
President Jimmy Carter
President Jimmy Carter, for example, succeeded in helping broker a historic deal between Israel and Egypt, but failed to secure a second presidential term in 1980.
President George H. W. Bush
President George H. W. Bush led a successful and relatively inexpensive military campaign to expel Saddam Hussein’s Iraq from Kuwait, and launched The peace process at the Madrid Conference in 1991, but was unsuccessful in the presidential elections the following year.
Donald Trump
Finally, Donald Trump held a signing ceremony for the Abraham Accords in the fall of 2020, a few weeks before he lost the second election.
These three former presidents failed in their re-election bids for reasons other than the Middle East, but their achievement of some successes in the region did not enhance their standing with American voters.
ReutersHunter Biden leaving the federal courthouse in Wilmington on July 26
2024 Election In conclusion
The reality shows that most American voters feel dissatisfied with the situation inside the United States and the options available for the 2024 campaign.
Voters also feel dissatisfied with how the media and political parties operate, and most of their concerns center around the events and issues that occur within their country.
In order for the Middle East region to become more important in American policy, it must offer something different from the usual conflicts and problems it presented in previous decades.
A bright image of the region – one that reflects the positive trends in the region and makes clear to Americans the benefit they could gain from their region.
If it became safer and more prosperous – could play an important role in changing the debate in the United States, but the chance of achieving this seems slim at the present time and until next year’s elections. .
I’m Hassan Saeed, a Clinical Psychology graduate deeply engaged in the realms of WordPress, blogging, and technology. I enjoy merging my psychological background with the digital landscape. Let’s connect and explore these exciting intersections!
